Price-Level versus Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy
نویسنده
چکیده
This paper compares two types of monetary policy: price-level targeting and inflation targeting. It reviews recent arguments that favour price-level targeting, and examines how certain factors, such as the nature of the shocks affecting the economy and the degree to which agents are forwardlooking, bear upon the arguments. The paper then extends the analysis to a small open economy such as Canada’s, and considers whether it is practical for this country to pursue price-level targets if its dominant trading partner, the United States, allows the price level to drift. JEL classification: E52 Bank classification: Monetary policy framework Résumé L’auteur compare deux types de politique monétaire, l’un fondé sur la poursuite de cibles définies à l’égard du niveau des prix et l’autre sur celle de cibles d’inflation. Faisant la revue des arguments invoqués récemment en faveur des cibles de niveau des prix, il examine comment certains facteurs, tels que la nature des chocs qui secouent l’économie et la mesure dans laquelle les agents sont tournés vers l’avenir, influent sur la validité de ces arguments. Puis il étend l’analyse au cas d’une petite économie ouverte comme le Canada et se demande si ce pays peut envisager, de façon réaliste, d’adopter des cibles formulées en fonction du niveau des prix alors que son partenaire commercial dominant, les États-Unis, tolère une dérive du niveau des prix. Classification JEL : E52 Classification de la Banque : Cadre de la politique monétaire
منابع مشابه
Oil Price Shock and Optimal Monetary Policy in a Model of Small Open Oil Exporting Economy - Case of Iran
Oil price shocks are the main source of macroeconomic fluctuations in oil exporting countries. It is believed that appropriate monetary policy can help to stabilize these unwanted variations toward optimal allocations. A stochastic dynamic general equilibrium model featuring the properties of both cost push and wealth effect transmission channels is developed for the Iranian economy. In thi...
متن کاملInflation Dynamics in a Dutch Disease Economy
Abstract In this paper, the effect of foreign sector macro-variable on inflation dynamics and firms’ pricing behavior has been investigated in the context of a small open economy New Keynesian Phillips Curve. This curve is derived and estimated for a developing oil-exporting economy suffering from Dutch Disease. This version of NKPC is an extension of Leith and Malley’s (2007) small open econom...
متن کاملAlternative Monetary Rules in the Open-economy: a Welfare-based Approach
Using an optimizing model we compare alternative monetary policy rules and exchange rate regimes for a small stochastic open economy with imperfect competition and short run price rigidity. The criteria to choose among rules and regimes are obtained using a welfare criterion derived from the utility function of the representative agent. The main findings of this paper are that, depending on wha...
متن کاملOil Price Shocks and Economic Fluctuations in Iran as a Small Open Oil Exporting Economy
Oil price shocks are the major source of economic instability in oil exporting developing countries, including Iran. In this paper a Multi Sector Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model, with emphasis on optimization of oil sector as a producing sector is designed. Furthermore, an optimizing import sector is introduced into the model by considering the price rigidity in imported goods as a...
متن کاملPrice-Level Targeting and Risk Management in a Low-Inflation Economy
With inflation and policy interest rates at historically low levels, policymakers show great concern about "downside tail risks" due to a zero lower bound on nominal interest rates. Low probability or tail events, such as sustained deflation or recession, are disruptive for the economy and can be difficult to resolve. This paper shows that price-level targeting mitigates downside tail risks res...
متن کامل